In this post, Vikings beat writer Judd Zulgad wonders how long the Vikings coaching staff is willing to wait for Brett Favre to decide on whether he's going to play for the Vikes or not. Would they bring him in – even after training camp starts – if it takes that long for his arm to feel right?
Based on how the Vikings have handled this situation thus far, I think they're desperate enough to wait that long, maybe right up until the day before the regular season begins.
If Brad Childress does that, from a team chemistry/cohesion standpoint, he would be going against conventional wisdom that says in team sports the more you practice and sweat and bond with your teammates, the better your team is going to be. I also suspect this talk that Childress' offence is so similar to what Favre ran with the Packers, that #4 would pick it up easily, is overly optimistic. Consider that if Favre joins the Vikings, he will be playing for his third team in three seasons. He'll be playing behind an entire offensive line he's never played behind before. He'll be handing off to running backs he's never handed off to before and passing to wide receivers, tight ends and running backs he's never thrown to before.
There will be subtle differences in how these players run routes and catch the ball that Favre will have to get used to. And those players will have to get used to how Favre delivers the ball, how quickly he delivers it and where he likes to deliver it. Favre strolling into training camp at the midway point (or later) only increases the chance that this move backfires on the defending NFC North champs.
Stay away, Brad. (even though I know you won't.)
In other Favre news, Pacifist Viking writes about the pros of signing Favre and cheering for Favre.
Tuesday, June 16, 2009
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3 comments:
The computer simulations are all coming out and predictings Favre's numbers with the Vikes. The best thing I've read (that was realistic, anyway), went something like this:
Jackson
Pro: few INTs
Con: poor comp.%
Rosenfels:
Pro: high comp.%
Con: too many INTs
Favre:
Pro: fewer INTs than Rosey
Pro: better comp.% than TJack
Con: lower comp. than Rosey
Con: more INTs than TJack
The takeaway? Favre is supposedly more consistent and well rounded, and will throw a little over 3000 yards on the way to an 11-5 season.
Could I see that happening? Sure. Do I trust Favre to navigate Minnesota through the playoffs? Put it this way: for 4 quarters every game I'll have a bottle of beer in one hand and a bottle of Pepto Bismol in the other.
Oh, and I'm not looking forward to the QB debate I know will happen in the spring/summer of 2010 because Jackson and Rosenfels are still question marks.
Peter:
Of course, those pros and cons for Jackson and Rosenfels are taken from a pretty small sample size compared to Favre.
I think any prediction that has Jackson throwing less INTs than Sage and Favre is misleading. Jackson will throw less INTS than the other two because the Vikings ask him to throw so little and the throws they ask him to make are generally pretty low-risk. But I think that's different from saying he's a QB who doesn't throw many interceptions.
And having watched Jackson play for two seasons now, it seems the more he's forced to throw, the more mistakes he's likely to make.
Jackson is not signed beyond 2009, so if Favre does come to the Vikes, this has got to be TJack's last season in purple. It will then be up to Rosenfels and Booty and some hotshot rookie to battle it out for the starting job in 2010.
Career interception percentages:
Favre: 3.3%
Jackson: 3.4%
Rosenfels: 5.2%
Rosenfels would almost certainly throw more Ints than Favre or Jackson, though at this stage of his career, I could see Favre managing to "outdo" him. At the very least, it's not unreasonable to think that T-Jack is the least interception-prone of the three.
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