July has not been a good month for posting here at Grant's Tomb. So be it. It's fastball season here in Canada's North and I've been busy doing that.
And without much Viking news to talk about except maybe this, I pass along a Football Outsiders column about wide receivers.
I admit I skimmed through some of the column, but what it shows is how rare it is for a rookie to become a number one wide receiver in the NFL. So don't expect Percy Harvin to catch 60 passes for over 1,000 yards and score multiple touchdowns in 2009.
Of course, Harvin doesn't have to be a number one receiver in 2009 to make the Vikings offence better (I'm already convinced Harvin will never be a guy who is the team's top receiving threat anyway.) If he can do what Devin Hester did his first two seasons with Chicago – make a big play or two per game, scare opponents to death and force them to do silly things – then he will have earned whatever rookie contract he will eventually sign.
Add an effective Harvin to an offence that already has Adrian Peterson, Chester Taylor, Bernard Berrian and, yes, even Visanthe Shiancoe and you've got plenty of weapons Viking opponents will have to worry about. It might even be a kick ass offence.
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2 comments:
Don't forget Rice as part of that KAO! He's due. (like that means anything)
The FO article was really interesting. Cool that it was a guest writer. Guy's an actuary. Seems like the right kind of mind to do the analysis.
I agree with you on Harvin. He won't be much more than a gimmick, but if he's an effective one, the offense will benefit.
Looks like the Vikings signed Asher Allen and is close to a deal with Winfield (I've read his agent is traveling to Minnesota). I hope they're not overpaying him. Still got to wrap up Loadholt and Harvin.
Peter:
I didn't forget Rice. More on him (and a few other Vikes) tomorrow. I actually read the article with Rice in mind because I wanted to see if there was anythig to this theory that WRs tend to break out in the their third season.
Sigh.
I'm pretty sure Loadholt will get signed sometime next Tuesday or Wednesday and that Harvin will be an 11th hour signing on the 30th or 31st.
As for Winfield, if a long-term deal is signed, I bet it's structured so that the bulk of the salary cap hit occurs in the first two years of the deal, when Winfield would still be playing at a high level (we hope).
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